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January 11, 2010

El Mirage: Test F-35s before February forums

Filed under: economics — Tags: , , — Professor @ 7:57 pm

The Pentagon will hold public meetings in late February regarding the F-35 jet fighter possibly coming to Luke Air Force Base in Glendale.

The Phoenix suburb of El Mirage says noise tests of the new fighter should be completed at Luke before those public Feb. 22-26 forums. The U.S. Defense Department has not yet said if and when such tests might be conducted.

El Mirage officials cite concerns that F-35 will be far nosier than the F-16, which now flies out of Luke on training missions. El Mirage Mayor Michele Kern asked U.S. Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., last year to bring F-35s to Luke for noise evaluations and the senator said he would.

“The noise needs to be studied,” said El Mirage spokeswoman Stacy Pearson.

Glendale spokesman Jerry McCoy said Glendale is open to the Luke tests, but they should be conducted in a uniform way and at the same time as at other sites being considered for F-35 training fast payday loans. Luke is the U.S. Air Force’s prime training base for F-16 pilots and Glendale is leading the effort to bring the F-35 training to Arizona.

The F-35 is succeeding the F-16 in the U.S. military arsenal.

Luke fighters now take off and land over El Mirage to the north of the base and Goodyear to the south.

McCoy also said Glendale is urging residents and base supporters to attend the DOD meetings.

Luke is competing with bases in Florida and New Mexico for F-35 training. Sites and times for the public forums on Luke have not yet been announced.

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December 7, 2009

Darling Weighs Plans for Further U.K. Taxes on Rich, Bankers

Filed under: online — Tags: , , — Professor @ 3:21 pm

Chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling this week may reverse a tax reduction for Britain’s richest households and will consider a levy on bankers’ bonuses in efforts to win over voters before next year’s election.

Darling said today that lowering the inheritance tax for the richest people is no longer a priority and didn’t dismiss an interviewer’s suggestion on BBC Television’s Sunday AM show that he is considering a one-time charge on bank bonuses. The chancellor is scheduled to publish a Pre-Budget Report with the tax plans on Dec. 9.

“I really can’t believe it would be the first priority of any government, at this time, to give a tax cut to the top 2 percent of estates in this country,” Darling said in the broadcast.

Darling and Prime Minister Gordon Brown are seeking to persuade voters that David Cameron’s Conservative Party, which is sticking to a similar inheritance tax plan, is siding with the rich at a time when the country is recovering from the worst economic crisis since World War II. That strategy has helped Brown’s Labour Party erode Cameron’s lead in opinion polls.

Darling said in 2007 that he would raise the inheritance tax threshold to 350,000 pounds ($578,000) from 325,000 pounds for single people and to 700,000 pounds from 650,000 for couples, starting April 2010. Cameron’s Conservatives want to abolish the tax for single people with estates below 1 million pounds and for couples with estates below 2 million pounds.

‘Lurch to Left’

“If the Labour Party wants to say don’t aspire to get on in life, then so be it,” George Osborne, the Conservative lawmaker who shadows Darling in Parliament, told the BBC program. “It’s part of their lurch to the left.”

Darling said he will not be “held to ransom” by banks threatening staff defections if their bonuses are curtailed, indicating he is considering plans to levy a one-time charge on bankers if they exploit loopholes on current bonus rules.

“We do have a veto over the package,” Darling said of government-controlled Royal Bank of Scotland Plc. “We are not going to be held to ransom by people who believe you can pay extremely large bonuses regardless of what’s going on.”

Osborne said he “wouldn’t rule out” such a charge if his party defeats Labour in the election, which has to take place before June.

An ICM Research poll for the Sunday Telegraph showed that the Conservatives are on course to obtain a majority of between 20 and 25 seats in the 646-seat House of Commons. A ComRes Ltd. survey Dec. 1 showed that the U.K. may be heading for a so- called hung Parliament, with Cameron leading Brown by 10 percentage points, down 3 points from October.

‘Party of Rich’

A YouGov Plc poll in today’s Sunday Times showed that more than half of the 2,000 people interviewed viewed the Conservatives as the party of the rich. Cameron said Brown had been “spiteful’ in his efforts to tell voters of his privileged upbringing and elite schooling.

Darling today stepped up the attack, saying Osborne’s plea to voters to endure tougher times isn’t consistent with tax cuts for the rich.

Darling said this week’s budget statement will spell out some detail on how he plans to implement his pledge to reduce the deficit by as much as half over four years. In April, the budget suggested the chancellor would have to find as much as 60 billion pounds to achieve this.

Darling has already announced tax increases that will account for about one-quarter of that amount, and has earmarked about 9 billion pounds by cutting waste in government departments, leaving him the challenge of finding a further 40 billion pounds by reducing government spending.

NHS Program

Darling told the BBC today that he will scrap a 12.4 billion-pound computer program for the National Health Service that is being developed mainly by iSoft Plc. Similar reductions, rather than staff cuts in schools and hospitals, would indicate “the direction of travel” in this week’s report, he said.

“The NHS had quite an expensive IT System and I don’t think we need to go ahead with it now,” he said.

Brown said yesterday in his weekly podcast that a plan to move more government services online would save about 400 million pounds a year.

Darling’s view is that the economy is too fragile to take more steps to repair the 175 billion-pound deficit this year, a Treasury official said this week. Darling will challenge the Labour government’s opponents to spell out their plans on what they plan to reduce, the official said.

Pound Rebounds

The pound snapped two weeks of declines against the euro last week as industry reports showed that U.K. services and manufacturing industries expanded in November, indicating that the recovery is taking hold.

Darling’s approach, contrasting with Conservative Party calls to make deeper and faster cuts, won the support of two groups in London today. The National Institute of Economic and Social Research, a London-based research group that counts the Treasury and the Bank of England as clients, said Darling should keep stimulating the economy during the next few months before reducing the deficit.

The British Chambers of Commerce said the government should refrain from cutting the fiscal deficit too quickly as the nation’s economic recovery faces “major risks,”

Darling will lower his forecast for the U.K. economy this year, saying the financial crisis has inflicted far deeper pain than he predicted in April, a government official said Nov. 27. Gross domestic product will fall 4.75 percent in 2009, compared with the 3.5 percent drop forecast seven months ago, the official said. Darling said today that growth in 2010 will be “moderate.”

Treasury officials said last week that Darling will scale back his estimate for the cost of bailing out Britain’s banks to no more than 10 billion pounds, from 50 billion pounds.

The reduction in the sum set aside in the government’s accounts to pay for losses will shave about 40 billion pounds off the Treasury’s debt, now about 792 billion pounds, the officials said.

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December 5, 2009

Safeway sponsors Cardinals gameday area

Filed under: technology — Tags: , , — Professor @ 9:57 pm

Safeway Inc. is sponsoring a gameday area on Sunday for the Arizona Cardinals home game in Glendale.

Safeway’s Gameday Experiene includes games, video game and TVs broadcasting other National Football League games. It also features food and drink stands offering samples of tailgating fare and other products fans might buy from the grocery store.

Safeway hosted a similar event outside University of Phoenix Stadium for the Nov payday loans with no fax. 15 game against the Seattle Seahawks.

The Cards game against the Minnesota Vikings is televised Sunday night on NBC. The Safeway promotion is free and located east of the stadium. The game starts at 6:20 p.m.

Source

December 4, 2009

Hatoyama to Unveil Stimulus Plan as Economy Weakens

Filed under: online — Tags: , , — Professor @ 10:21 am

Prime Minister Yukio Hatoyama will probably unveil his first stimulus package today amid growing signs that the recovery in the world’s second-largest economy is losing momentum.

Hatoyama, who took office in September pledging to transform the economy by emphasizing quality of life over growth, is grappling with a slide in prices and a surging yen. His approval ratings have slumped, hurting the Democratic Party of Japan’s momentum ahead of upper house elections in July 2010.

He may propose spending of as much as 4 trillion yen ($46 billion) in this year’s extra budget, Finance Ministry officials familiar with the matter said. The package would come three days after the Bank of Japan offered to pump 10 trillion yen ($113 billion) into the banking system, accommodating government calls for it to do more to fight declining prices.

“Right now, the biggest threat for the economy is the strengthening yen, while deflation also poses a very severe risk,” said Yoshimasa Maruyama, senior economist at Itochu Corp. in Tokyo. “The government is mindful of next year’s election and will want to spur employment because that’s what matters to voters the most.”

The yen climbed to 84.83 against the dollar on Nov. 27, the highest since 1995, and has gained more than 5 percent in the past three months. It traded at 88.10 as of 1:18 p.m. in Tokyo from 88.26 late yesterday. The Nikkei 225 Stock Average fell 0.3 percent and has lost 3.1 percent since Hatoyama took power on Sept. 16.

Workers, Environment

The stimulus plan is about “95 percent complete,” Deputy Prime Minister Naoto Kan said at a news conference in Tokyo today. The package is likely to focus on helping small and medium-sized businesses, employment aid, and incentives to buy environment-friendly goods.

Most of the funding for spending will probably come from the 2.7 trillion yen frozen from the previous administration’s extra budget. The remainder will be tapped from reserves in so- called special accounts, or money set aside and used at the discretion of bureaucrats, Jiji Press reported this week, citing unidentified ruling party officials.

Finance Minister Hirohisa Fujii said this week that funding for the package wouldn’t come from bond sales, assuring investors that the measures won’t exacerbate a public debt burden that’s the largest in the industrialized world.

The yield on the benchmark 10-year bond fell to 1.19 percent on Dec. 1, the lowest since January. It was unchanged at 1.27 percent today.

Support for Policies

While Hatoyama’s popularity has slipped, it remains high enough to win support for his policies, and he benefits from voter disgust with the way the Liberal Democratic Party managed the economy before its ouster in August, said Jeff Kingston, director of Asian Studies at Temple University in Tokyo payday loan.

“People are well aware that the DPJ was handed the poisoned chalice of an imploding economy and the mother of all fiscal messes,” Kingston said. “The shifting of stimulus spending away from roads and bridges to nowhere to social welfare spending, environmentally friendly products and child subsidies, plays very well here.”

Hatoyama’s approval ratings fell five percentage points from the previous month to 68 percent, according to a Nov. 30 survey by Nikkei Inc. and TV Tokyo Corp. The poll didn’t provide a margin of error.

Slower Growth

Gross domestic product expanded for a second quarter in the three months ended Sept. 30 after four quarters of contraction. Economists say the government will revise down last quarter’s growth from an annual 4.8 percent pace after a report yesterday showed companies cut spending a record 25.7 percent in the period.

Other figures this week showed the expansion may be weakening. Industrial production advanced at the slowest pace in eight months in October, and wages slid for a 17th month, extending their longest losing streak in six years.

Japan’s economy will probably shrink 5.4 percent this year, more than a 4.2 percent contraction in the euro area and a 2.7 percent drop in the U.S., the International Monetary Fund forecast in October.

Japanese policy makers are adding stimulus programs just their counterparts around the world consider how to withdraw them as the global economy recovers.

The Bank of Japan’s lending program will offer three-month loans at 0.1 percent interest. In a meeting with central bank Governor Masaaki Shirakawa two days ago, Hatoyama applauded the move and refrained from pushing for further monetary easing.

Revive Demand

Economist Akiyoshi Takumori says those measures won’t spur growth unless the government does more to revive demand.

“There needs to be support for the private sector,” said Takumori, chief economist at Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management Co. in Tokyo. “The BOJ’s new 10 trillion yen program will be useless unless companies want to invest in plant and equipment.”

Businesses and workers have called for government action. Fujio Mitarai, head of the country’s largest business lobby, said last week that Japan needs to take “urgent steps” against the yen’s advance. Nobuaki Koga, head of the Japanese Trade Union Confederation, met Hatoyama on Dec. 2 to ask for “bold and aggressive” measures.

Source

December 3, 2009

CN Rail strike settled

Filed under: marketing — Tags: , — Professor @ 12:18 pm

MONTREAL – Canadian National Railway Co. and the Teamsters union reached a deal on Wednesday to end a strike by locomotive engineers, avoiding a potential blow to the fragile economic recovery.

Teamsters Canada president Daniel Shewchuk said the engineers will get back to work as quickly as possible, but didn’t provide a timeline.

Federal Labour Minister Rona Ambrose said restoring full service quickly is critical to the economy.

"Canada is still at the early stages of a recovery from the global economic downturn and could not afford slowdowns and stoppages in such a critical component of the national infrastructure," Ambrose said in a statement.

The minister said the deal to end the strike, which began on Saturday, was reached as a result of "intense bargaining."

Under the terms of the agreement, CN (TSX: CNR) will not proceed with controversial work rule changes it announced last week including increasing the monthly mileage cap for the locomotive engineers.

CN and the union have also agreed to continue negotiations to resolve issues related to wages, benefits and work rules, but if there is no agreement any dispute over wages and benefits will be settled by binding arbitration.

The two sides may also agree to submit work-rule issues to binding arbitration, but only if they can agree on the ones that should be subject to arbitration.

CN president and chief executive Hunter Harrison said the deal gives both sides the flexibility to negotiate issues further, but also ensures the finality of binding arbitration for issues that remain in dispute.

"We have always sought, since starting negotiations 14 months ago, to achieve a settlement with the TCRC through negotiations or binding arbitration," Harrison said in a statement.

Ambrose said she will appoint federal mediators and an arbitrator to help finalize the other outstanding issues.

The deal came after Ottawa introduced legislation Monday to end the strike.

CN is the country’s largest railway and the government cited worries about the weak economy to justify the strike-ending legislation.

"Continuing the strike for any further amount of time would have had grave consequences for our economy," Ambrose said.

Managers have been running the trains since the walkout began.

Edward Jones analyst Brian Yarbrough said the deal looks positive for both sides.

"You never like to see people out there unemployed in this kind of environment and you don’t like to see the potential negative impacts this could have caused to the overall economic rebound," Yarbrough said from St. Louis.

Since the strike was so short, there shouldn’t be any serious economic effects, he added.

The 1,700 engineers, members of the Teamsters Canadian Rail Conference, have been without a contract for almost a year.

CN shares closed down 27 cents at $56.03 on the Toronto Stock Exchange.

Source

November 17, 2009

Russia Won’t Diversify Currency Reserves, Kostin Says

Filed under: finance — Tags: , , — Professor @ 6:42 pm

Russia is unlikely to change the structure of its reserves from dollars and euros even as currencies including the yuan gain more importance in regional trade, VTB Group Chief Executive Officer Andrei Kostin said.

“Inevitably with the growth and importance of other economies like China or other BRIC countries’ economies, the role of their currencies should be more important,” said Kostin, who heads Russia’s second-biggest bank, in an interview yesterday in Singapore. “We think that the yuan and the ruble can be currencies in which we conduct bilateral trade. But as a reserve currency, I think the central bank is still dividing mainly between the dollar and the euro.”

The ruble gained 0.2 percent against the euro to 42.8600, the strongest level in almost ten months, at 1:12 p.m. in Moscow. The Russian currency was little changed against the dollar.

Russia has sought to promote regional currencies in trade and finance to reduce the risks posed by the dominance of the dollar. Medvedev has blamed the global financial crisis on an over-reliance on the U.S. currency and the U.S. role in the financial system.

“Things are changing for sure and I think the crisis showed the weaknesses of being dependent on only one currency,” said, Kostin who was accompanying President Dmitry Medvedev at the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation forum. ‘There is more concern among many investors, even in Russia, that America is printing too much money and that could devalue it.”

State-run VTB is Russia’s second-biggest bank after OAO Sberbank.

Border Arrangements

Prime Minister Vladimir Putin traveled to China last month to strengthen a relationship forged by Russian oil exports to Asia’s largest energy consumer. The total value of oil deals signed with Chinese companies this year is about $100 billion, according to the Russian government.

China, the world’s fastest-growing major economy, has signed 650 billion yuan ($95 billion) in currency-swap agreements since December with Argentina, Belarus Hong Kong, Indonesia, Malaysia and South Korea, encouraging greater use of its currency guaranteed online payday loans.

Russia already has agreements that allow the use of the ruble and yuan in cross-border trade, First Deputy Central Bank Chairman Alexei Ulyukayev said on Oct. 23. Russia is also in talks with India and Brazil to use their currencies in trade.

Dominique Strauss-Kahn, the managing director of the International Monetary Fund, said today that the yuan may in future be added to the basket of currencies that set the value of IMF monetary units, called special drawing rights.

Reserve Currency

The yuan may be added in a “while,” Strauss-Kahn said at a press briefing in Beijing today. The move would require the currency to be market-based, he said.

While Chinese officials, including central bank Governor Zhou Xiaochuan, have called this year for an alternative to the dollar as the main reserve currency, they maintain controls on the yuan that prevent it for now from becoming a competitor.

Leaders from the APRC, who met in Singapore over the weekend, declined to back U.S. calls for a stronger yuan.

It’s “not easy” to say when the yuan could become convertible, Kostin said.

The currency could become a global reserve currency in about 10 years should the country make it convertible, Russian Finance Minister Alexei Kudrin said on Oct. 24.

While the yuan cannot be freely exchanged, making it impossible to use it for reserves at present, a change in policy would make the currency a “notable and weighty” global reserve currency given China’s trade volumes with others, Kudrin said.

Russia’s reserves, the world’s third largest holdings, are made up of 47 percent dollars, 41 percent euros, 10 percent pounds and 2 percent yen, Ulyukayev said on Nov. 2.

Source

November 12, 2009

Home prices may be bottoming out

Filed under: economics — Tags: , , — Professor @ 10:57 am

The bleeding in the housing market seems to be stanched, at least temporarily, according to home price data released on Tuesday.

Most U.S. cities saw gains in the median price of single-family homes sold during the three months ended Sept. 30, according to the National Association of Realtors’ quarterly report on home prices. This is the second consecutive quarter of gains.

The national median home price was $177,900 in the third quarter, up $7,000 from the previous quarter. And while that down more than 11% from the third quarter of 2008, the pace of decline is slowing. In the second quarter of 2009, home prices fell 15.4% from the same period last year.

"The decline in the national median price has moderated recently," Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said in a statement.

Yun said a shrinking supply of unsold homes suggests the housing market is getting closer to price stabilization. But he cautioned that a steady stream of financially qualified buyers is necessary to keep the fledgling housing recovery going.

NAR attributed much of the recent increase in home prices to the government’s first-time homebuyer tax credit, which has helped revive home sales from a deep slump.

"We can’t underestimate just how powerful a catalyst the first-time homebuyer tax credit has been for the housing sector," Yun said.

While a glut of foreclosed properties will continue to weigh on prices in the months ahead, "rising sales from the expanded tax credit should stabilize home prices by next spring," Yun said payday cash advances.

Despite the positive report, many clouds dot the housing market horizon. The darkest of those is the current employment picture. The latest release from the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported a national unemployment rate of 10.2%.

"An unemployment rate of 10.2% is a strong psychological impediment for anyone thinking of buying a house," said Ingo Winzer, president of real estate research firm Local Market Monitor Inc.

"Housing markets respond as much to psychological factors as to economic ones," he said. "So we won’t see much of a pickup in home buying until the unemployment rate has turned downward."

Cheapest and priciest areas

The Cape Coral metro area in Florida recorded the largest decline: 40% to $98,000. the Cumblerland area Maryland and West Virginia had the biggest gain: 19.2% to $122,100.

The lowest-priced market in the nation is now Saginaw, Mich., where the median home sold for $61,400 during the quarter, a 6.7% drop over last year. The most expensive market was San Jose, Calif., with a median price of $566,000 — although that’s still a 12.9% discount from a year ago.  

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November 9, 2009

Geithner: need stimulus, not financial transactions tax

Filed under: term — Tags: , — Professor @ 4:09 pm

Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner on Saturday stressed the necessity of keeping global economic stimulus in place until recovery is assured and opposed the utility of a tax on financial transactions as a way to dampen risky bank behavior.

Speaking at the conclusion of a two-day meeting of Group of 20 finance minister and central bankers, Geithner said there was broad agreement that “growth remains the dominant policy imperative across our economies.”

He said high U.S. unemployment, which hit a 26-1/2-year high at 10.2 percent of the civilian workforce in October, highlighted a “very tough economic environment” that will a period of sustained growth to correct.

Earlier, British Prime Minister Gordon Brown had suggested that the G20 should levy on banks — blamed for the excessive risk-taking that led the world into a now-easing financial crisis — and used the proceeds to fund future bailouts.

Geithner played down that idea, noting that the Obama administration was already pushing an overhaul of financial market rules in Congress that would ensure that banks pay the costs of their failures in future from their own pocket.

“A day-by-day financial transaction tax is not something we are prepared to support,” Geithner said in an interview with Sky News. In his concluding press conference, Geithner was asked repeatedly to say why he opposed such a tax on banks and indicated he doubted its effectiveness.

“This idea (of a bank transaction tax) has been around for a long time…I think frankly the experiences are mixed,” he said, expressing an American view that there was no widespread backing for such a tax.

Canadian Finance Minister Jim Flaherty was similarly skeptical.

“It’s one of the ideas that’s on the table, but is not particularly attractive to me as finance minister of Canada. We have been a government that has been reducing taxes,” Flaherty said.

ON DANGEROUS GROUND

Geithner’s key message was that recovery still remains on perilous ground and that it was too soon to discuss the timing for removing the massive fiscal and monetary stimulus that countries around the world have poured into their economies.

“Government policy has to provide a bridge to growth led by the private sector,” he said. “We’re now in the middle span of that bridge.”

That meant policymakers must move cautiously in trying to bring down huge budget deficits without choking off chances for growth led by consumer spending and business investment.

“If we put the brakes on too quickly we will weaken the economy and the financial system, unemployment will rise, more businesses will fail, budget deficits will rise, and the ultimate cost of the crisis will be greater,” Geithner said.

“It’s too early to start to lean against recovery.” 

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November 6, 2009

Productivity surges, job growth should follow

Filed under: legal — Tags: , — Professor @ 9:36 am

U.S. business productivity grew at its fastest clip in six years in the third quarter and new claims for jobless aid fell to a 10-month low last week, suggesting the labor market may be starting to bottom out.

The Labor Department said on Thursday that productivity surged at a 9.5 percent annual rate, the quickest pace since the third quarter of 2003, as companies squeezed more output from a smaller pool of labor to hold the line on costs.

The Labor Department also reported that initial claims for state unemployment benefits dropped to 512,000 in the week ended October 31, the lowest level since early January. Markets had expected a decline to only 523,000, from the 530,000 reported in the prior week.

Some healing of the labor market is crucial to sustaining and strengthening the economy’s recovery after its worst recession in 70 years, with employment key to underpinning consumer spending.

Analysts doubt that the rapid growth rate in productivity, which measures the hourly output per worker, can be sustained, which some analysts say means businesses may soon have to step up hiring to meet the demand for their goods and services.

“We expect the pace of efficiency gains will soon begin to fade,” said Michelle Girard, a senior economist at RBS in Greenwich, Connecticut. “Having cut payrolls so dramatically during the last downturn, we believe that companies will be forced to add workers earlier in this recovery than was the case following the last two recessions.”

U.S. stocks rallied on the reports, with the productivity data viewed as good news for company earnings. The blue chip Dow Jones industrial average gained more than 2 percent and closed above the 10,000 threshold for the first time in about two weeks payday loans for bad credit.

Financial markets had expected productivity to rise at a 6.4 percent rate. It grew at a 6.9 percent pace in the April-June period, when the economy was still contracting.

MUTED INFLATION PRESSURES

The U.S. Federal Reserve on Wednesday held overnight interest rates close to zero percent and said it would keep them extraordinarily low as long as excess economic slack and a lack of inflation warning signs prevailed.

The U.S. economy grew in the third quarter for the first time in more than a year, driven largely by government stimulus. The strong productivity report suggested there was little need to worry about inflation at this juncture.

Unit labor costs, a measure of the cost of labor for any given amount of production, fell 5.2 percent last quarter after declining 6.1 percent the previous period. Analysts had forecast a drop of only 4 percent.

“Solid productivity growth provides the basis for a recovery in business earnings and investment in the second half of 2009, and keeps a firm lid on prices and inflation,” said Brian Bethune, chief U.S. financial Economist at IHS Global Insight in Lexington, Massachusetts.

“They provide the Fed more room to keep rates exceptionally low for an extended period in order to coax the economy through the fragile recovery period over the next year and ultimately to an expansion mode.”

Productivity in manufacturing rose at a record 13.6 percent rate in the third quarter, likely driven by automakers ramping up production to rebuild depleted stocks after the popular “cash for clunkers” program boosted sales. 

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November 4, 2009

Fed: Get ready for more bank losses

Filed under: economics — Tags: , , — Professor @ 11:48 pm

U.S. banks are at risk of sizable new loan losses, particularly on commercial property, and some banks may not have sufficient capital to fully cushion against losses, a Federal Reserve official said on Monday.

Some large regional and community banks that have built up unusually high concentrations in commercial real estate loans will be "particularly affected" by conditions in those markets, said Jon Greenlee, associate director of the Fed’s Division of Banking Supervision and Regulation.

In the second quarter, said Greenlee, "Credit losses at banking organizations continued to rise, and banks face risks of sizable additional credit losses given the outlook for production and employment."

Greenlee’s comments were in testimony prepared for delivery to a House of Representatives Oversight and Government Reform subcommittee.

"Poor loan quality, subpar earnings, and uncertainty about future conditions raise questions about capital adequacy for some institutions," he said.

While the stability of the banking system has improved, it is far from robust as banks face pressures from weakness in both residential and commercial property markets, Greenlee said.

Although year-on-year housing price price declines slowed in the second quarter, foreclosures and mortgage loss severities are likely to remain high, he said.

Delinquencies of mortgages backing commercial mortgage-backed securities have increased markedly in recent months and market participants anticipate the delinquency rates will rise by the end of the year, Greenlee said.

Fed examiners are noticing a sharp deterioration in loans in banks’ portfolios and loans in commercial mortgage-backed securities, he said. 

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