DUBLIN â Lawmakers in Prime Minister Brian Cowenâs own party mounted a rebellion Tuesday to try to oust him, an effort that could trigger a snap election and delay a massive EU-IMF bailout of Ireland.
Despite the discontent, Cowenâs Cabinet colleagues in the Fianna Fail party said they were confident the rebels have too few votes to pursue a no-confidence motion against Cowen.
At stake is the future course of the potentially â¬100 billion ($135 billion) European Union and International Monetary Fund rescue of Ireland, a nation heading toward bankruptcy next year because of Irish banksâ reckless speculation in overpriced real estate.
Irelandâs deficit this year is 32 percent of GDP â the highest in Europe since World War II â and its banks are running short of cash because they canât borrow on open markets.
The Irish political and economic crisis, and its uncertain solution, drove up borrowing costs Tuesday for debt-struck nations from Portugal to Spain. It also fanned fears that a third member of the 16-nation eurozone â after Greece and now Ireland â might be backed into its own bailout corner soon.
The Cabinet gathered Tuesday at Cowenâs office to complete its four-year plan for unprecedented budget cuts tied to Irelandâs international bailout. The plan, which proposes to slash â¬15 billion ($20 billion U.S.) from the countryâs 2011-14 budget deficits through a combination of cuts and tax hikes, is to be published Wednesday.
One of Cowenâs loyal lieutenants, Transport Minister Noel Dempsey, said the EU-IMF rescue aid couldnât flow until Ireland began slashing â¬6 billion ($8.2 billion U.S.) from its 2011 deficit.
âWe donât have the luxury of time in relation to this,â Dempsey said. âWe asked for assistance. We were given that assistance on the basis that we were going to produce this four-year plan, that we were going to produce a budget, and that budget would pass. If we canât do that, then the assistance isnât there.â
Two separate political meetings were happening Tuesday â one led by a handful of party rebels, the second by the full 70-strong bloc of Fianna Fail lawmakers.
âThereâs serious discontent within the parliamentary party. I believe itâs now up to those whoâve spoken out to take soundings amongst their colleagues to take action to remove that man (Cowen) immediately,â Fianna Fail lawmaker John McGuinness said.
Cowen conceded Monday night he must call an election next year but sought to delay it as long as possible. His hand was forced when the junior party in his coalition, the Greens, said it would withdraw support once the 2011 budget passed.
The Greens said they expected the country to hold an election by late January, but Fianna Fail officials â furious at the Green ambush â say the budget will require multiple votes on different tax increases that could drag the process into February.
Tensions flared as Fianna Fail and Greens convened around the same table for the first time since Cowenâs weekend decision to take a bailout. The Fianna Fail minister for tourism and the arts, Mary Hanafin, accused the Greens of undermining Ireland at a critical moment.
âIâm very annoyed by it. It certainly wasnât expected. Iâm not sure they (the Greens) have shown they have the best interests of the country at heart,â Hanafin told Irish state radio RTE.
Hanafin said she wouldnât back any push to oust Cowen. Still, she did say she would put her name forward if the leaderâs post became vacant, reflecting the murky political maneuvering within Fianna Fail, Irelandâs dominant political force since the 1930s.
At the European Parliament in Strasbourg, France, EU monetary and financial affairs minister Olli Rehn gathered Irelandâs European lawmakers for a confidential briefing â and came out stressing they must stop the political infighting long enough to pass the 2011 budget.
âIt is essential that Ireland pass the budget in the timeline foreseen, and sooner rather than later, because every day that is lost increases uncertainty,â Rehn said. âLetâs adopt the budget, letâs get it out of the way, and letâs move on.â
Cowen pleaded Monday night with his many opponents not to force him from office until the 2011 budget is fully enacted and EU-IMF money is flowing into Irish banks. He even telephoned the two major opposition leaders, Fine Gaelâs Enda Kenny and Labourâs Eamon Gilmore, to seek their acquiescence when the government unveils the 2011 budget Dec. 7.
But opposition lawmakers emphasized Tuesday they were determined to oust Cowen as soon as possible in pursuit of a pre-Christmas election.
âWhatâs the point of a government preparing a four-year plan that they wonât preside over, that they wonât be there to implement, and that they havenât consulted the people on?â said Fine Gael lawmaker James Reilly.
Reilly and Labour lawmakers both contended that, if Cowen resigned and dissolved parliament now, an election in mid-December could lead to the new governmentâs revised budget being passed by Christmas.
Dempsey of Fianna Fail, however, called that schedule âquite impossible.â
Shares in Irelandâs three listed banks plummeted for a second day Tuesday.
Bank of Ireland was down 26 percent to a new record low of â¬0.29. Allied Irish Banks fell 20 percent to â¬0.33, while Irish Life & Permanent â Irelandâs only bank yet to receive a state bailout â shed 9 percent to â¬0.77.
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